Survey Suggests NHS To Face Nurse Shortage by 2016

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10th July 2013 13:12 - Health

Recent research in the health sector from CfWI shows that the NHS is likely to have 47,545 fewer nurses than it needs by 2016. These findings come shortly after fresh concerns that the health service is failing to provide more care into the community and is resulting in unsustainable demand on accident and emergency departments.

The report suggests that the likely shortage of 45,545 nurses by 2016 is to be caused by a 5% drop in supply of nurses and a 3% increase in demand. 

Although this was considered the most likely outcome, the centre noted a range of possible scenarios based on its predictions. These ranged from a nursing shortage of 0.6% by 2016 to one of 11%. The worst case scenario would see a shortage of around 190,000 nurses.

Figures from 2010 show that supply and demand was equal, with both figures at the 572,034 mark, in contrast 2016 is to see a supply of 541,762 and a demand figure of 589,307 equating to a total shortage of just under a tenth (8.31%).

However, in a separate report from the CfWI there was an overall increase in the NHS midwife headcount from 2009-11 of 4%. Predicting a likely surplus of 3,425 midwives by 2016.

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